Customer Lifetime Value Calculator (LTV) — Retail & SaaS (2025)

Calculate Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) for retail and SaaS. Estimate gross profit, factor in churn, and find your ideal CAC payback period with our advanced LTV models.

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Customer Lifetime Value Calculator (LTV) — Retail & SaaS (2025)

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Configuration

Optional: Enter to calculate LTV:CAC ratio and payback period.

Retail Logic: Calculates value based on repeat purchases over a fixed lifespan.
LTV = AOV × Frequency × Lifespan × Margin

Customer Lifetime Value

Discounted PV
$2,598
Undiscounted LTV: $3,024
Gross Profit / Month
$84
Avg Lifespan
36.0 mo

Unit Economics (LTV:CAC)

Exceptional (≥ 5:1)
LTV:CAC Ratio
6.0x
Payback Period
6.0 mo

Profitability Timeline

Shows cumulative gross profit over time. The intersection with CAC is your break-even point.

How to Use This Calculator

1

Select Your Business Model

Choose "Simple" for retail/e-commerce (transaction-based) or "Subscription" for SaaS/memberships (recurring revenue).

2

Input Revenue Metrics

Enter your Average Order Value (AOV) and Purchase Frequency for retail, or Monthly Revenue (ARPU) for subscription models.

3

Define Retention & Margin

Set the Gross Margin % (revenue minus COGS) and either expected Lifespan (Retail) or Monthly Churn Rate (SaaS).

4

Analyze Unit Economics

Optionally enter your Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) to instantly see your LTV:CAC ratio and break-even timeline on the chart.

Key Features

Dual Mode: Specialized models for Retail/E-commerce and Subscription/SaaS

Profit-Focused: Calculates LTV based on Gross Margin, not just Revenue

Advanced PV: Applies discount rates to show the Present Value of future cash flows

Unit Economics: Instantly calculates LTV:CAC ratio and Payback Period

Visual Timeline: Interactive chart showing cumulative profit vs. acquisition cost

Mastering Customer Lifetime Value (LTV) in 2025

Interface of the LTV calculator showing inputs for average order value, purchase frequency, and churn rate to determine customer profitability.

In the data-driven landscape of 2025 business, Customer Lifetime Value (CLV or LTV) is the single most important metric for sustainable growth. It answers the fundamental question: How much is one customer worth to your bottom line?

Knowing your LTV isn't just about accounting—it's the strategic compass that dictates how much you can afford to spend on marketing (CAC), which customer segments to prioritize, and how to price your products. Whether you run a high-frequency e-commerce store or a sticky B2B SaaS platform, optimizing LTV is the difference between burning cash and building a profitability engine.

Why it matters now: With ad costs on platforms like Google and Meta rising year-over-year, the "growth at all costs" era is over. Investors and founders now prioritize unit economics. A healthy LTV:CAC ratio (typically 3:1 or higher) proves that your business model works.

Choosing the Right LTV Model

Not all businesses are the same. Our calculator provides two distinct models to match your revenue structure:

1. Retail / E-commerce

Best for businesses with discrete, irregular purchases (e.g., fashion, electronics, coffee shops).

LTV = AOV × Frequency × Lifespan × Margin

2. Subscription / SaaS

Best for recurring revenue models (e.g., software, gym memberships, box subscriptions).

LTV = (ARPU × Margin) / Churn Rate

Decoding the Variables

AOV
Average Order Value

The average amount a customer spends in a single transaction. Increasing AOV via bundles or upsells is often the fastest way to boost LTV.

GP
Gross Margin

Crucial but often ignored. LTV must be calculated on gross profit, not revenue. If you sell a $100 item but it costs $60 to make and ship, your LTV calculation bases itself on the $40 profit.

Churn
Churn Rate

The percentage of subscribers who cancel each month. Churn is the "leaky bucket" of SaaS. Reducing churn from 5% to 2.5% literally doubles your LTV.

PV
Discount Rate (Present Value)

Money today is worth more than money in 3 years. Our calculator applies a discount rate (default 8-10%) to future cash flows to give you the "Present Value" LTV—a more conservative and accurate figure for financial planning.

Real-World Scenarios

Scenario A: The Boutique Coffee Roaster (Retail)

A customer buys a $20 bag of coffee (AOV) every 3 weeks (~17 times/year). They stay loyal for 3 years. The margin is 60%.
Math: $20 × 17 × 3 × 0.60 = $612 LTV.
Insight: Knowing this, the roaster can comfortably spend $50 to acquire a new customer (CAC), achieving a massive 12:1 return.

Scenario B: The Project Management Tool (SaaS)

Users pay $50/month (ARPU). Margin is high at 90% ($45 profit). However, churn is high at 10% per month.
Math: $45 / 0.10 = $450 LTV.
Insight: If they reduce churn to 5%, LTV jumps to $900. This shows why retention teams are often more valuable than sales teams in SaaS.

Expert Tips for Maximizing LTV

1. Segment Your Customers: "Average" LTV lies. Your "Whales" might have an LTV of $5,000 while "Minnows" are $50. Calculate LTV by segment to know who to target.

2. Focus on the First 90 Days: Churn often happens early. Improving onboarding and "time to value" is the highest-leverage way to extend lifespan and boost LTV.

3. Cross-Sell Strategically: Don\'t just sell more of the same. Sell complementary products. If you sell running shoes, selling socks adds pure margin and increases AOV without increasing acquisition cost.

4. Monitor Payback Period: High LTV is great, but cash flow is king. If it takes 18 months to recover your CAC, you might run out of cash before you see the profit. Aim for a payback period under 12 months.

Common Calculation Pitfalls

  • Using Revenue instead of Profit: This is the #1 mistake. If you ignore COGS, you will overspend on ads and lose money on every sale.
  • Ignoring Discounts: If you offer 20% off to acquire a customer, that reduces their LTV. Factor in your average discount rate.
  • Assuming Infinite Lifespan: In subscription models, 1/Churn implies mathematically infinite tails. In reality, products become obsolete. Cap your LTV calculations at 3-5 years to be conservative.
Note: This calculator uses standard financial modeling formulas. For specific business valuations or investment decisions, consult a financial professional.

About the Author

Jurica Šinko

Finance Expert, CPA, MBA with 15+ years in corporate finance and investment management

Connect with Jurica

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the difference between LTV and CLV?

There is no difference; they are interchangeable terms. LTV stands for "Lifetime Value," while CLV stands for "Customer Lifetime Value." Both refer to the total gross profit a customer generates over their entire relationship with your business.

Why should I calculate LTV on gross margin instead of revenue?

Calculating LTV on revenue is a dangerous vanity metric. If your product costs $50 to make and you sell it for $100, your true value is $50, not $100. Using revenue will inflate your LTV, leading you to overspend on ads (CAC) and potentially lose money on every new customer.

What is a "good" LTV:CAC ratio for a SaaS business?

The industry standard benchmark for a healthy SaaS business is 3:1—meaning for every $1 you spend on marketing, you get $3 back in gross profit. A ratio of 4:1 or 5:1 is exceptional. Anything below 1:1 means you are losing money on every customer acquired.

How do I estimate Customer Lifespan if my business is new?

If you lack historical data, use conservative industry averages. For e-commerce, 1-3 years is common. For SaaS, you can estimate lifespan as 1 / Churn Rate. If you have 5% monthly churn, estimated lifespan is 1 / 0.05 = 20 months. Always underestimate rather than overestimate.

Why does the calculator include a Discount Rate?

Money received in the future is worth less than money today due to inflation and opportunity cost. The "Discount Rate" (usually 8-12%) adjusts future profits into "Present Value" (PV). This gives you a realistic view of what that future cash flow is worth right now.

Can LTV ever be negative?

LTV itself generally cannot be negative unless your Gross Margin is negative (i.e., you sell products for less than they cost to make). However, your "Net LTV" (LTV minus CAC) can certainly be negative if you spend more to acquire a customer than they ever generate in profit.

What is the payback period?

The payback period is the time it takes for a customer's cumulative gross profit to equal the cost to acquire them (CAC). For funded startups, a payback period of <12 months is ideal. If it takes >18 months to break even, you risk running out of cash before realizing profits.

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